City Blues By The Numbers

You are here: Home / 2017 Weekly Updates NYCFC / NYCFC 2017 Weekly Update By The Numbers – MLS Week 13 May 30

NYCFC 2017 Weekly Update By The Numbers – MLS Week 13 May 30

May 31, 2017 by Mark Leave a Comment

The good news is the Blues are third in the conference and fourth overall while playing an Away-heavy schedule of only 5 at home and 8 on the road.The semi-bad news is more than a third of the league is within a one game swing of overtaking the Bluebirds so that position is precarious. The PPG standings also place them in 3rd in the East and drop them to 5th overall.

Also, the Celestes really need to pick it up at home. They have dropped 5 points at home in only 5 games, which is not particularly good for a team that high in the standings. The two teams ahead of the Pigeons have dropped a combined 6 points in 14 Home games. Gotham City could win 9 straight at home and will have built a Home record 1 point better than TFC and the Fire have combined for so far. If the goal is to make the playoffs, the current Home pace of 2.0 PPG is fine. But a challenge for top of the East will require improvement. Here are the possible results.

Looked at another way, the Blue Hawks have 5 losses in their first 13 games. If they are going to end up in the neighborhood of 60 points, they can probably lose at most another 5 in the final 21 games. They could easily lose 4-5 of their remaining 9 Away games. They might do better, but that would hardly be a surprise. Las Palomas lost 5 of their last 9 Away games last year (after the first 8 Away games last year they had only 2 losses compared to 4 this year). Which means, switching back to the Home perspective, the club might need to go undefeated the rest of the way or lose at most one more to improve on last year and be reasonably certain of avoiding the initial one-game playoff round.

I do not see this team as designed to excel in the playoffs. I see this team being built to excel on an overall everything-being-equal basis. By that I mean that the philosophy seems to be to play in a consistent way that creates more chances for you and less for the opponent, and over a full season that will mean success. But there seems to be no plan to win any specific game when things go awry, Down, 3-0, the Pigeons play the same way they do up 2-0. There is no apparent strategy to play with more urgency when a game starts going the wrong way. I fully understand that manufacturing goals at will is an iffy proposition at best, but when this team either plays poorly, or plays well and suffers a bit of bad luck, it seems to be done for. Winning a set of 3-4 playoff match-ups in a row with that foundation seems to be wishful thinking, and avoiding at least one of those playoff rounds would likely increase the odds of success considerably. Last year 54 points did that, but current indications, while admittedly still early, are that finishing top 2 in the East could require more.

It needs to start now, with 6 of the next 8 at Home, the last 2 of which are against the teams the Blues are chasing — Chicago and Toronto.

I think it is worth considering where NYC finishes in relation to the top West teams. This is not so much for Shield purposes as for a potential MLS Cup Home Field advantage. This is why I’ve added the West PPG standings to the posts this year. The number at the bottom of those charts is the average PPG of each conference.

Finally, here are the year-to-year graph comparisons.

Filed Under: 2017 Weekly Updates NYCFC

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

About Page and My Other Blogs

About and the Rules

Privacy

My Photo Blog

My Dad’s Autograph Collection and Sketches

Other NYCFC Sites

NYCFC Forums

The Outfield

Categories

  • 2015 Weekly Updates
  • 2016 NYCFC Assorted
  • 2016 Weekly Updates NYCFC
  • 2017 Weekly Updates NYCFC
  • 2018 Weekly Updates
  • 2019 Interconference Play
  • 2019 Weekly Updates
  • Interconference 2018
  • Interconference Play 2016
  • Interconference Play 2017
  • Methodologies
  • MLS Assorted
  • NYCFC Misc

Archives

  • September 2022
  • May 2022
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • January 2019
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • August 2015

Recent Posts

  • Goal Differential Minus xGoal Differential – Spoiler: It’s About Cushing
  • NYCFC May 30, 2022 – Odds’n’Ends, Shapes and Contrasts
  • NYCFC 2020 In Review By The Numbers
  • The Best of Times, The Worst of Times
  • NYCFC 2020 – 15 Games In – 8 To Go

Recent Comments

  • JC on NYCFC May 30, 2022 – Odds’n’Ends, Shapes and Contrasts
  • visit this link on Boys Keep Swinging — NYCFC Weekly Update MLS Week 26 September 2, 2019
  • Mark on If Every MLS Team Were A Ride At Disney World
  • Michael B Parker on If Every MLS Team Were A Ride At Disney World
  • If Every MLS Team Were A Ride At Disney World on In My Beginning Is My End – NYCFC Weekly Update October 7, 2019 MLS Week 31

Meta

  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org

Copyright and Disclaimers

Copyright (c) Mark Garbowski 2015-2019. All rights reserved.

I have no ads or commercial interests in connection with this blog so I need no disclaimers.

Copyright © 2023 · Agency Pro on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in