My Non-Rigorous Pre-Season Predictions

One additional note on the schedule. Before the season I did a quick prediction of W-L-D for every game. I was intentionally optimistic and it came to 51 points. I have since been comparing actual results to those predictions. This is of course even less scientifically rigorous than anything else I post here. I spent about 5 minutes on this pre-season, and it really reflected my view of the schedule more than anything else. After 8 games the team had a 14 point deficit to my prediction. After a 3 game win streak the deficit was down to 5 by Game 11, but climbed back to 14 after the loss to RSL. Right now the deficit is at 5. My optimistic prediction to get to 51 points had us at 38 now, and going only 3-5 4 from here to the end of the season. Currently I think we can do better than that and have a decent shot at erasing this fictional deficit.
But I think predictions are hard, especially when they concern the future.