City Blues By The Numbers

You are here: Home / 2016 Weekly Updates NYCFC / 2016 Weekly Update – July 19

2016 Weekly Update – July 19

July 19, 2016 by Mark Leave a Comment

    • We followed our 3-game win streak by getting 5 points in the next 5 games.
    • We just finished a 4-game home stand where we managed 4 points, and for which most of us expected 6-9 points. This made worse an already bad home record.
    • The combined Away record of our 4 opponents for that home stand before it started was 3 Wins 14 Losses and 5 Ties.
    • We have 3 Home losses and 2 of them gave our opponent their only Away win of the season so far.

    Yet we stand in 3rd place, only two points out of first (although with games in hand).

    Screen Shot 2016-06-19 at 10.20.56 PM.png
    In the PPG standings we have slipped to 5th place. I think we were as high as third in the PPG standings at some point but I don’t have a record of it. We were definitely in 4th place 2 games ago.
    The PPG line is up to 43. When I started the thread it was at 38. We have a ~1.5 PPG cushion. When I started the thread we were in 6th and defined the playoff line so that’s an improvement but it would be nice to have more.
    So, worse than we hoped, but better than some alternatives, including last year.

    How we get to various point totals over the remaining 18 games:

    Screen Shot 2016-06-19 at 10.23.12 PM.png

    If we keep ties to a minimum, we just need to go 2 games over .500 and we should be in good shape. But as ties go up so must the number of wins over losses

    What’s Next
    7 of our next 9 games are on the road. Between now and August 13 we will have a very good idea if our very solid road record is something real we can count on, or a flash in the pan. After that stretch we finish with 5 at home and 4 away.
    What we are up against are 7 teams whose collective Home Record is 28-12-12 for 1.85 PPG. Put another way, opposing teams who have visited the 7 teams we are about to visit have managed only 0.92 PPG against them.
    That doesn’t mean we’re destined to do that. We underachieved at home. We now have to overachieve on the road. But not by much if we take care of business at home starting now.
    Let’s say we win both home games in this stretch against the Red Bulls and Colorado.
    2-0-0 | 6 Pts | 3.0 PPG
    Then we can go just
    2-4-1 | 7 Pts | 1.0 PPG on the road
    for a combined
    4-4-1 | 13 Pts | 1.44 PPG in the 9-game stretch.
    Then we would have 34 points with 9 to play and can see a clear path to the playoffs. But if we drop points against RB or Colorado, at home, the road games become more crucial.

Filed Under: 2016 Weekly Updates NYCFC

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

About Page and My Other Blogs

About and the Rules

Privacy

My Photo Blog

My Dad’s Autograph Collection and Sketches

Other NYCFC Sites

NYCFC Forums

The Outfield

Categories

  • 2015 Weekly Updates
  • 2016 NYCFC Assorted
  • 2016 Weekly Updates NYCFC
  • 2017 Weekly Updates NYCFC
  • 2018 Weekly Updates
  • 2019 Interconference Play
  • 2019 Weekly Updates
  • Interconference 2018
  • Interconference Play 2016
  • Interconference Play 2017
  • Methodologies
  • MLS Assorted
  • NYCFC Misc

Archives

  • September 2022
  • May 2022
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • January 2019
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • August 2015

Recent Posts

  • Goal Differential Minus xGoal Differential – Spoiler: It’s About Cushing
  • NYCFC May 30, 2022 – Odds’n’Ends, Shapes and Contrasts
  • NYCFC 2020 In Review By The Numbers
  • The Best of Times, The Worst of Times
  • NYCFC 2020 – 15 Games In – 8 To Go

Recent Comments

  • JC on NYCFC May 30, 2022 – Odds’n’Ends, Shapes and Contrasts
  • visit this link on Boys Keep Swinging — NYCFC Weekly Update MLS Week 26 September 2, 2019
  • Mark on If Every MLS Team Were A Ride At Disney World
  • Michael B Parker on If Every MLS Team Were A Ride At Disney World
  • If Every MLS Team Were A Ride At Disney World on In My Beginning Is My End – NYCFC Weekly Update October 7, 2019 MLS Week 31

Meta

  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org

Copyright and Disclaimers

Copyright (c) Mark Garbowski 2015-2019. All rights reserved.

I have no ads or commercial interests in connection with this blog so I need no disclaimers.

Copyright © 2023 · Agency Pro on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in