- Yesterday was NYCFC’s 50th win in regular season MLS. They have played 118 games for a PPG of 1.517. The complete record is 50-39-29. Home PPG is 1.847. Away PPG is 1.186.
- The 2018 Away PPG is 1.125 and needs to be better.
- The top 3 in the East have opened a substantial gap between them and the rest of the conference. The projected difference between the Red Bulls and Crew is almost 15 points at year end. That is twice as large as the next biggest gap between RSL and Portland at just under 7 points.
- NYCFC has a schedule that should allow it to improve its road record.
- NYC has only 7 games remaining against the current projected playoff teams in both conferences. There are no more games against those teams in the West. Against the East Conference playoff teams, NYC has 5 Home games remaining (RB, RB, CLB, NER and PHI) and only 2 Away (CLB and PHI).
- Against the current non-playoff teams, there are 4 Home (CHI, MTL, DCU, VAN) and 7 Away (ORL, CHI, MTL, TOR, DCU, MNU, SEA).
- In contrast, 7 of the 8 Away games to date have been against teams above the playoff line, while only 3 of the 8 Home games have been. I expect that NYCFC will not remain undefeated at Home, but should more than double its Away wins.
- As a for example, NYC can get to the 11 wins neighborhood by winning 7 of 9 remaining at Home plus 4 of 9 Away.
- Finally, I added Chicago to the below. They’re not exactly tearing up the chart, but they deserve to be there at least as much as Orlando or Toronto at this point.
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