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NYCFC May 30, 2022 – Odds’n’Ends, Shapes and Contrasts

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  • 26 points is the most NYCFC has ever had after 13 games.  In 2018 they had 24, and they had 20 points after 13 games 3 times: 2017, 2019, and 2021. Charts show 2018 and later, skipping the extremely anomalous and short 2020 season.

  • +15 is the highest Goal Differential after 13 games.  Previous high was 7 in 2018.   The earliest NYCFC ever reached +15 GD was in 2021 when they had +16 after 20 games.

  • 22 points in 8 games is the best 8-game stretch in team history. Previous best was 20 points, achieved twice in August-September 2019 (games 24-31 and 25-32).
  • NYCFC’s longest undefeated streak is 12 games in April-July 2019, then a 9 game streak also in 2019 (see previous bullet).  Current streak of 8 is tied with season-straddling streak in 2017-18.
  • The six game scoreless streak coincided perfectly with May. Counting Cup games, NYCFC played 8 games across all competitions and allowed one goal, to a third division team.
  • Deila has coached 70 regular season games, behind only Veira (83), and will pass him in August barring a major shock.  He ranks third in career PPG.

The bottom 2 lines reflect Veira’s numbers excluding his first 8 games, and Deila’s excluding his first 6.   I figure Veira deserves a break to get settled given he took over a dysfunctional team, and Deila’s first 6 entailed a CCL distraction, then pandemic, then the weird Orlando return, then almost another month off, followed immediately by an Away Derby.   Their records both are what they are, but I find this useful context.
  • For Domé fans, he had the best 28 game stretch with 59 points at the long back end of 2019.
  • An odd trademark of Ronny’s teams is that they score a whole lot or very few goals.  I calculated the team’s goals per game standard deviation for each year. We’ll have to see where 2022 ends up when it has a full season – it’s currently no surprise it is an outlier with just 13 games, as was 2020 with 23 games.  But Ronny also has the 3 highest years, meaning NYCFC has a lot of games scoring very few or very many goals away from the average.

  • Here’s another way of looking at it.  This table shows how many games the team scored 0-1 goals, 2-3  goals, or 4+ goals under each coach.  NYCFC scores 0-1 goals under Ronny almost as often as they did under Jason Kreis, has the lowest percentage of 2-3 goal games, and accumulates 4+ goal games roughly twice as much as under Torrent or Vieira.
  • NYCFC has played the third easiest schedule to date based on opposing PPG adjusted for H/A at 1.12. DC United and Shield rival LAFC had slightly easier schedules. The good news is NYCFC has a fairly easy remaining schedule at 1.33 PPG, which is not even in the top half of difficulty. LAFC’s remaining opponents come in at 1.54.
  • Here are some sample records that get NYCFC to various point totals. The team could collapse, get just 1.29 PPG the rest of the season, and still be all but guaranteed to make the playoffs at 53 points.  Finishing at 60 or higher is not a lock but not too hard. 70 is a stretch.

  • Finally just because I always included one of these here is a PPG table.