In a conference in which 7 out of 10 teams have 1 or 0 road wins,* I would also note that the H/A breakdown for each contender is NYC 5/6, TOR 7/5, NJRB 6/5, PHI 5/7, and MTL 7/6. Combine that with the opponents PPG and I think Philly has the toughest schedule, and Toronto’s H/A split pushes their schedule closer to ours in terms of ease.
Finally I did a really granular comparison of Toronto’s schedule to ours. We have 4 identical games, same opponent and same H/A. We have one (NER) where we play the same team, but at Home for Toronto and Away for us. That’s a slight advantage Toronto but we can certainly win in New England. That leaves 7 Toronto games and 6 NYCFC that don’t overlap at all. Of their 7, 5 are against current playoff teams, with 3 Home and 2 Away. Of our 6, 2 are against current playoff teams with 2 Home.
Toronto’s toughest games are Philly and Montreal Away, then Philly Montreal and Red Bulls at Home. Ours are probably SJ Away and FCD and LAG at Home. Advantage us I think.
And since people like to consider multi-game weeks. We have none. Toronto had one this week and 2 more. But the schedule makers were still kind to Toronto. This week their travel was Home-Home-Home. The next one is PHI-ORL-Home(v MTL). And the last one for Toronto is Home-Home-Home. So while their roster gets stretched they are not not getting killed with crazy travel.