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Currently, our home PPG is 1.0 and Away is 1.67. If we do that to the end of the season we get 45 points. we would also have a season for the ages, opposite of all home away trends by an absurd amount. So I agree we will revert to the mean.
If we revert to the mean we do better. Last year playoff teams earned 2.04 PPG at home and 1.06 at home.
If we do that from this point we get 49 points.
If you’re not concerned that we might be more likely to drop our Away performance towards average than to double our home PPG, I admire your sunny disposition. I still think we can do it, but we’ll be skating at the margins of history if we do.
Orlando has one road win. They got it against us.
New England has 3 points of 18 from its road games. One is from us.
Chicago has 2 points of 15 from its road games. One is from us.
The Red Bulls have one road win. Against us.